Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.018230 0.020049 0.021881 0.023860 0.025933 0.028036 0.030327
2025-06-29 0.014349 0.017131 0.020051 0.023322 0.026866 0.030571 0.034718
2025-07-06 0.011612 0.014828 0.018316 0.022334 0.026791 0.031546 0.036965
2025-07-13 0.010311 0.013916 0.017929 0.022651 0.027981 0.033751 0.040410
2025-07-20 0.009009 0.012857 0.017253 0.022530 0.028584 0.035224 0.042970
2025-07-27 0.007891 0.011905 0.016610 0.022364 0.029064 0.036497 0.045252
2025-08-03 0.007318 0.011559 0.016632 0.022926 0.030338 0.038632 0.048471
2025-08-10 0.006450 0.010770 0.016063 0.022742 0.030708 0.039708 0.050465
2025-08-17 0.005650 0.010002 0.015469 0.022484 0.030953 0.040609 0.052234
2025-08-24 0.005012 0.009396 0.015036 0.022386 0.031359 0.041673 0.054168
2025-08-31 0.004392 0.008764 0.014531 0.022167 0.031594 0.042515 0.055829
2025-09-07 0.003925 0.008308 0.014225 0.022173 0.032079 0.043637 0.057800
2025-09-14 0.003300 0.007599 0.013595 0.021800 0.032160 0.044354 0.059397
2025-09-21 0.002676 0.006832 0.012851 0.021267 0.032040 0.044843 0.060749
2025-09-28 0.002024 0.005920 0.011839 0.020329 0.031374 0.044641 0.061255
2025-10-05 0.001789 0.005686 0.011774 0.020630 0.032251 0.046292 0.063948
2025-10-12 0.001480 0.005272 0.011416 0.020515 0.032586 0.047272 0.065833
2025-10-19 0.001202 0.004866 0.011042 0.020358 0.032849 0.048153 0.067591
2025-10-26 0.001096 0.004794 0.011172 0.020892 0.034002 0.050125 0.070657
2025-11-02 0.000871 0.004422 0.010807 0.020717 0.034222 0.050938 0.072322
2025-11-09 0.000667 0.004044 0.010406 0.020472 0.034335 0.051608 0.073805
2025-11-16 0.000516 0.003751 0.010122 0.020379 0.034639 0.052508 0.075561
2025-11-23 0.000375 0.003432 0.009771 0.020171 0.034777 0.053192 0.077048